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Olin Revises Q4 2025 EBITDA Outlook Citing Segment Shortfall
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Key Takeaways
OLN now expects about $67M in Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA, down from prior guidance of $110-$130M.
OLN's Freeport site faced extended maintenance, unplanned downtime and chlorine demand issues.
OLN says Freeport has returned to normal, with focus on operations, cost cuts and a value-first approach.
Olin Corporation (OLN - Free Report) has updated its outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 due to a shortfall in its Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment. The company now expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $67 million, a reduction from its earlier guidance of $110-$130 million.
This shortfall had stemmed from issues at Olin’s Freeport, TX, facility, including an extended planned maintenance turnaround, unplanned downtime, and a lower-than-anticipated demand for pipeline chlorine, which pressured the segment’s performance in the quarter.
The decline in chlorine demand, operational disruptions and interruption of raw material supply by a third party all contributed adversely during the end of the quarter. The Freeport site has since returned to normal operations, easing the pressure.
The management remains focused on safe operations, cost reduction initiatives, and a disciplined value-first commercial approach.
The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls unit’s revenues amounted to $924 million in the third quarter, which rose around 6% year over year. The upside in sales was primarily due to increased volume.
OLN shares have declined 27.3% over the past year compared with the industry’s 20% dip.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
OLN’s Zacks Rank & Key Picks
OLN currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Some better-ranked stocks in the Basic Materials space are Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM - Free Report) , Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC - Free Report) and Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY - Free Report) .
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM’s 2025 earnings is pegged at $7.87 per share, indicating a rise of 86.05%. Its earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.63%. AEM’s shares have gained 118.4% over the past year.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC’s 2025 earnings is pinned at $1.68 per share, indicating a 147.06% year-over-year increase. Its shares have surged 194.2% over the past year.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HMY’s current fiscal-year earnings is pinned at $2.68 per share, indicating a 111.02% year-over-year increase. HMY’s shares have gained 141% over the past year.
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Olin Revises Q4 2025 EBITDA Outlook Citing Segment Shortfall
Key Takeaways
Olin Corporation (OLN - Free Report) has updated its outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 due to a shortfall in its Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment. The company now expects adjusted EBITDA of approximately $67 million, a reduction from its earlier guidance of $110-$130 million.
This shortfall had stemmed from issues at Olin’s Freeport, TX, facility, including an extended planned maintenance turnaround, unplanned downtime, and a lower-than-anticipated demand for pipeline chlorine, which pressured the segment’s performance in the quarter.
The decline in chlorine demand, operational disruptions and interruption of raw material supply by a third party all contributed adversely during the end of the quarter. The Freeport site has since returned to normal operations, easing the pressure.
The management remains focused on safe operations, cost reduction initiatives, and a disciplined value-first commercial approach.
The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls unit’s revenues amounted to $924 million in the third quarter, which rose around 6% year over year. The upside in sales was primarily due to increased volume.
OLN shares have declined 27.3% over the past year compared with the industry’s 20% dip.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
OLN’s Zacks Rank & Key Picks
OLN currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Some better-ranked stocks in the Basic Materials space are Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM - Free Report) , Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC - Free Report) and Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY - Free Report) .
At present, AEM and KGC sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, while HMY carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM’s 2025 earnings is pegged at $7.87 per share, indicating a rise of 86.05%. Its earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.63%. AEM’s shares have gained 118.4% over the past year.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KGC’s 2025 earnings is pinned at $1.68 per share, indicating a 147.06% year-over-year increase. Its shares have surged 194.2% over the past year.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HMY’s current fiscal-year earnings is pinned at $2.68 per share, indicating a 111.02% year-over-year increase. HMY’s shares have gained 141% over the past year.